Afghan Futures Data Presented at AAPOR

KABUL, Afghanistan, July 3, 2013- Data from ACSOR’s own Afghan Futures survey was presented at the 68th annual American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) Conference in Boston, Massachusetts this past May. “Indicators of State Legitimacy in Afghanistan,” written by Nina Sabarre, Samuel Solomon, and Timothy Van Blarcom from D3 Systems, Inc. drew from data collected in the third installment of the Afghan Futures Survey sponsored by ACSOR-Surveys, a nationally representative survey of 2,039 Afghans. This paper examines state legitimacy through a quantitative analysis of variables that influence perceptions of the central government’s legitimacy in Afghanistan. In April 2012, the Afghan Center for Socio-Economic and Opinion Research (ACSOR) fielded a survey commissioned by D3 Systems, Inc. consisting of 2,039 interviews distributed across all 34 provinces of Afghanistan.

This survey measured public perceptions of general living conditions, performance of the central government, reconciliation with the Taliban, and recent events with over 125 demographic, attitudinal and behavioral metrics. The authors of this paper conducted a thorough analysis of the dataset obtained from this survey to understand the significance and strength of variables (such as: region, security, opinion of Taliban, income, religion, socio-economic status, etc.) on perceptions of state legitimacy. This study supports the hypothesis that security situation is a key indicator of perceptions of state legitimacy.

You may view the PowerPoint presentation here.

This entry was posted on July 3, 2013

Topics: Survey Results